John Hall is that winner. With about 80% of the vote in (results from one county not available), Hall takes the prize in a field of four. Hall appears to have taken more than 50% of the vote. Congratulations to John Hall. Needless to say, three people are not overjoyed, but this was a win-win-win-win primary; all were fine candidates.
NY-19 leans Republican (2004 vote: Bush/Kerry 53/46) and has been held for 12 years by rubber stamp Sue Kelly. Her transgressions have been amply described at Take-19. For those of a masochistic bent her voting history is summarized.
NY-19 embraces the northern suburbs of NYC extending into rural territory. Can this district swing Dem? Registration has been moving towards Democrats, but more importantly the strong top of the ticket in New York, Iraq and Afghanistan, Bush incompetence, and yes, lots of corruption, will draw Dems to the polls like yellow jackets to picnics. Conversely, these very same issues will induce sleeping sickness in some Republicans.
Listed by no prognosticators in the first or second tier of take-over candidates, the swing of districts like NY-19 nonetheless will make the difference between a bare return to Dem House control and a real governing majority. (Just look at how tough it is now for Repubs to pass anything, anything at all.) Barring a bin Laden capture, the shift in control seems assured, so real power in the House seems to me a goal worth pursuing. Who will be Speaker is now a given; to move beyond to progressive action we need more Democrats. NY-19 and other third tier candidates deserve your attention.
One in a series on the NY 19th; links to others at the end.
Money, money, money, money. This will be reposted as each quarter's stats become available.
This accounting is from Center for Responsive Politics.
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on Hand
Judy Aydelott (D) $186,335 $22,022 $164,313
Jeff Cook (R) $8,768 $1,716 $7,051
John Hall (D) No Report
Sue Kelly (R) $625,167 $263,195 $682,665
Jim Martorano (D) $1,350 $12 $1,337
Darren Rigger (D) No Report
Ben Shuldiner (D) No Report
Analysis after the jump ...
· WI-08: Wingnut plans to run as "conservative independent" (desmoinesdem)
· 50 percent of southerners say Obama better president than Bush (desmoinesdem)
· What Yesterday Says About Young Voters (Mike Connery)
· Max Blumenthal on the dysfunctional movement driving the GOP (Mike Connery)
· IA-Gov: Culver launches second tv ad (desmoinesdem)
· Hilarious Vid On Why We Must Vote No On Issue 2!! (Cliff Schecter)
· NY-23: Scozzafava Drops Out! (lipris)
· NY-23: Pataki Goes Rogue, Endorses Teabagger Darling Doug Hoffman (lipris)
· Dunne Considering Run For VT-Gov (Nathan Empsall)
· McGovern Grandson Looks to Challenge Thune in 2010 (Jonathan Singer)
· IA-03: Two potential challengers for Boswell (desmoinesdem)
· NJ-Gov: Daggett Goes After Christie and Corzine (Jonathan Singer)
